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Sabtu, 11 Februari 2012

PDF Ebook Collecting Antique Marbles, by Paul Baumann

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Collecting Antique Marbles, by Paul Baumann

Product details

Paperback: 176 pages

Publisher: Wallace-Homestead Book Co; Subsequent edition (December 1, 1990)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 087069569X

ISBN-13: 978-0870695698

Product Dimensions:

7.5 x 0.5 x 9.2 inches

Shipping Weight: 1 pounds

Average Customer Review:

4.5 out of 5 stars

21 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#1,655,415 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

I bought this kindle version as I was not sure I would want to pay the price of the book. Having recently become interested in Carpet ball / bowls, this book kept coming up in a Google search, I was able to review it quit extensively before purchasing the E-Book version. It had a great deal of information about Scottish Carpet ball or bowls, including excellent pictures of authentic and reproduction balls. The reproduction was my main concern, and seeing the patterns that were reproduced etc. was very helpful.After seeing the pictures of the China marbles I am totally hooked on the painted ones as well.Everything about this book is very informative, the reproduction sections are particularly of interest and value. The pictures are amazing and clear. I have just purchased the paper published version, to go with the Kindle version. I would recommend this to anyone interested in antique marbles or carpet balls. I is the only book I have found that covers the subject enough to make a informed purchased.

Probably the best and most complete book available on antique marbles for both the novice and advanced collector. Provides excellent description, with pictures and price guide, of all types of antique marbles, their origin and method of manufacture. Great reading and quite helpful in identifying these marbles. It is not just pictures and a few words. Also, it has quite a comprehensive section on Antique Victorian Carpet Balls. Nothing even close exists in other publications. It is, by far,the best reference book I have ever come across in both areas, i.e. antique marbles and antique carpet balls. I purchased this copy for a friend just getting into antique marble collecting.

Great book on marbles. Provides a great deal of information.

My wife got this for Christmas and was really thrilled with this book. She has been collecting "german swirls" for 30 years and we have many of those. This book provides great detailed pictures and descriptions of the process used to make these remarkable craft pieces. She thought that there was different explanations in this book from some others she has, but the differences were really minor. Also, she thought in some cases the values seemed to be extremely high; yet, we both thought that that could be the result of the marble being reviewed by the author versus ones we have seen of a similar type. Quality is always the key! A great book for a marble collector.

The information contained the book was helpful. However, I have learned that marble "dealers" are not very forthcoming with information in books nor online. You have to go to the shows, in person, to sell, from what I have learned. As one dealer stated, by the time the book is published the information is obsolete.

As descibed. Delivered on time. Good book for first time collectors

I read a lot of marble books. This one is not bad, Could be better.

I have his original physical book. The update is good. It is so much prettier in Kindle app on my tablet computer and more helpful with accuracy of pictures. I have been a collector for 40 years, before everyone else was collecting, and there were any price guides. This is one of the best. I am so glad I looked for it and Amazon, bless their hearts, had it.

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Senin, 06 Februari 2012

PDF Download Fundamentals of Clinical Trials

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Fundamentals of Clinical Trials

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Fundamentals of Clinical Trials

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“This book aims to assist investigators in improving the quality of their clinical trials and protocols by discussing fundamental concepts with examples and in-depth review of the literature. … This is a valuable resource for students, clinicians, and researchers who are interested in designing a clinical trial or in critically appraising the published literature on clinical trials.” (Pooja Sethi, Doody’s Book Reviews, December, 2015)

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From the Back Cover

This is the fifth edition of a very successful textbook on clinical trials methodology, written by recognized leaders who have long and extensive experience in all areas of clinical trials. The three authors of the first four editions have been joined by two others who add great expertise.  Most chapters have been revised considerably from the fourth edition.  A chapter on regulatory issues has been included and the chapter on data monitoring has been split into two and expanded.  Many contemporary clinical trial examples have been added.  There is much new material on adverse events, adherence, issues in analysis, electronic data, data sharing, and international trials.  This book is intended for the clinical researcher who is interested in designing a clinical trial and developing a protocol. It is also of value to researchers and practitioners who must critically evaluate the literature of published clinical trials and assess the merits of each trial and the implications for the care and treatment of patients. The authors use numerous examples of published clinical trials to illustrate the fundamentals. The text is organized sequentially from defining the question to trial closeout. One chapter is devoted to each of the critical areas to aid the clinical trial researcher. These areas include pre-specifying the scientific questions to be tested and appropriate outcome measures, determining the organizational structure, estimating an adequate sample size, specifying the randomization procedure, implementing the intervention and visit schedules for participant evaluation, establishing an interim data and safety monitoring plan, detailing the final analysis plan, and reporting the trial results according to the pre-specified objectives.Although a basic introductory statistics course is helpful in maximizing the benefit of this book, a researcher or practitioner with limited statistical background would still find most if not all the chapters understandable and helpful. While the technical material has been kept to a minimum, the statistician may still find the principles and fundamentals presented in this text useful.  This book has been successfully used for teaching courses in clinical trial methodology.  

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Product details

Hardcover: 550 pages

Publisher: Springer; 5th ed. 2015 edition (August 30, 2015)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 9783319185385

ISBN-13: 978-3319185385

ASIN: 3319185381

Product Dimensions:

6.2 x 1.3 x 9.4 inches

Shipping Weight: 1.8 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.7 out of 5 stars

10 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#272,047 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Excellent book to get a better understanding regarding clinical trials. Well written. I just need to get a general understanding of what constitutes an acceptable trial so I am not sure how the information will work for someone actually conducting a trial though.

VERY GOOD!!

Dry but thorough. A must for any clinician thinking of doing clinical trials.

Very useful even though I work in marketing research, not medicine.

Very clear and detailed. Great book.

Comprehensive coverage with latest updates on the subject.

Good book

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Rabu, 01 Februari 2012

Download Stubborn Attachments: A Vision for a Society of Free, Prosperous, and Responsible Individuals

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Audible Audiobook

Listening Length: 3 hours and 32 minutes

Program Type: Audiobook

Version: Unabridged

Publisher: Stripe Press

Audible.com Release Date: September 26, 2018

Language: English, English

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Finally, the age of sophisters and calculators has fully arrived, and its herald is Tyler Cowen. He, economist and blogger, is here to tell us the purpose of life. It is to die with the most toys. Well, that, plus maximum freedom to do whatever we want with our toys while we are still alive. "Stubborn Attachments" is just about the sort of thing you’d expect from a left-libertarian philosopher, namely a clever and partially accurate construct that is internally coherent, but floats free of human reality and ignores any human value other than that found in the box labeled “Approved By John Stuart Mill.”Still, while I think much of this book is clueless, it’s brief, to the point, and actually fairly interesting. In particular, time is a critical concept in Cowen’s thought, and his thoughts related to this can be stimulating. And in this book Cowen does not show the childlike faith in technology that he earlier showed in "Average Is Over," although maybe that’s just because he subsumes technology within the general category of his main goal, wealth increase. The primary benefit to me of this book, however, was that it helped me advance my own thoughts on a related question—can a rich society stay a virtuous society?But before we get there, let’s examine what Cowen has to say. His primary point is to outline his path for maximizing our future value as a species. He is clear about what are the two goals that together constitute that value, such that its increase can be effectively measured. The first goal is material prosperity, meaning individual and collective wealth—not just goods and services, but also such things as leisure time and unspecified “environmental amenities” (by which he appears to mean an unspoiled natural world as some kind of special good, doubtless a form of virtue signaling). All these things together make up “wealth plus.” There is no need to get people to agree on the rank order of different goods; if wealth plus increases, necessarily on average more good things are available, allowing approved “plural values” to flourish. That is, if wealth increases, everyone can have the biggest piece of pie. All that matters is that wealth always increase, never faltering. Thus, the measure of whether any social process is desirable is whether it is “ongoing, self-sustaining, and [creates] rising value over time.”This leads into the second goal. As can be deduced from Cowen’s focus on “plural values,” which implies the primacy of Enlightenment values of emancipation and liberation from unchosen bonds, that goal is maximized individual autonomy. Cowen also sometimes characterizes it simply as “liberty” or “freedom.” Maximum individual autonomy tends to follow from wealth; the author informs us that “Wealthier societies . . . offer greater personal autonomy, greater fulfilment, and more sources of fun.” But atomized autonomy is, to be clear, an independent, standalone goal. If everyone had to be poor for some reason, autonomic individualism would still be the highest good for Cowen.In sum, the ground of Cowen’s book is that nothing matters other than wealth and having fun as each person defines it for himself, and nothing can be permitted to get in the way of achieving both, and then increasing their magnitude and scope. However, there is one critical limit. Namely, there exists some set of unspecified “human rights,” which are “absolutely inviolable” and can never be traded for, or eroded in favor of, more wealth and fun. These are trump cards hiding in the wings; they are never actually played in this book, but they appear to be meant as a way to prevent Cowen’s stated goals from adversely affecting other political values he holds dear, presumably roughly those of the left-wing elite that today dictates cultural thought in America. Thus, for example, were someone to have the temerity to point out that allowing unrestricted abortion erodes future wealth because a society with no children has no wealth, Cowen would doubtless slap the “abortion rights” card on the table to silence any discussion or inconvenient wrongthought.Other sections of this book address mostly technical philosophical matters related to this core structure, such as different theories of consequentialism. Cowen, who is very well read in modern literature relating to ethics and morality, seems keenly aware of the claim that “right” and “wrong” are incoherent concepts when unmoored from some set of transcendental requirements, which is the inevitable end of endorsing consequentialism (of which utilitarianism is the best-known type). He dodges this problem by stating up front that “I will not consider meta-ethics, the study of the underlying nature of ethical judgments. Instead, I will simply assume that right and wrong are concepts which make fundamental sense.” Following this precept, Cowen talks throughout the book about “common sense morality,” which is meant to form a bridge over various thought experiments that cripple modern meta-ethics, such as arguing over when it is morally acceptable to murder a child to achieve some benefit.This approach is a good one, for otherwise Cowen’s book would degenerate into something of no applicability to real life and of no interest to mainstream readers. I do not quarrel with Cowen’s idea of common sense morality—except for the name he gives it. A more accurate, or the only accurate, name is “Christian morality”—that is, the morality that has underlain the thought of the West for two thousand years. Cowen either doesn’t realize that’s what he is talking about, or prefers to ignore it. For any Western society prior to Christianity, other than the Jews, any aspect of Cowen’s “common sense morality” would be laughed at as weak and stupid. For example, Cowen talks over and over about “our obligation to help the poor.” Where does this obligation come from? The ether, apparently. In the same way, I suspect that most of what Cowen considers unspecified “absolute human rights” are merely Christian beliefs dressed in Enlightenment clothes (as are all other claims of human rights). And thus, he also ignores that such morality is only “common sense” as long as Christianity, or its echoes, are the default moral position of the majority of the people in a culture. In the not very distant future, this will no longer be true in the West, and it already is no longer true for many culturally dominant segments in most countries. At which point, the resonance value of Cowen’s common sense morality will decline to zero, and anybody reading him will wonder what he was smoking, as the vicious morality of pagan Rome reasserts itself.Fortunately, this decline and end of Christian morality is a problem that will fix itself, because our civilization isn’t going to regress to Roman morality. On its current path, it’s just going to disappear, or be subsumed, since the West doesn’t have children any more. As far as I can tell, Cowen has no children of his own, and the word “children” only appears once in this entire book, in passing, even though this is a book about the importance of making decisions to maximize the future happiness of mankind. That future mankind will apparently generate itself by a form of parthogenesis, fully formed and eager to participate in material plenty and limitless, costless, autonomy. No need to discuss sacrifice now so that they may exist, and no reason to mention that having the future on which this book focuses depends on a sharp increase in the number of children born in the West. Move along, now, or Cowen may play a human rights card to silence you!Before we get to my musings, I have two objections to Cowen’s analysis, each of which is also a building block for my own thoughts. Cowen takes some time to accurately gloss the material improvements of modern life granted to us by the West, channeling Steven Pinker. His point is that we want to continue these improvements—life expectancy, food availability, reduced working hours, and so forth. (Neither Cowen nor Pinker would have much sympathy with James C. Scott’s claim that primitive man may be happier man.) Such improvements have benefited, typically with a time lag, all segments of our society, and these improvements have also benefited the entire world, to the extent the non-West has adopted what the West has created.My threshold problem is that Cowen assumes without demonstration that more wealth is always better. “A given individual is likely better off living an extra five years, receiving anesthesia at the dentist, enjoying plentiful foodstuffs, having more years of education, and not losing any children to premature illness. Similarly, people one hundred years from now will be much better off if economic growth continues.” Why? The second sentence does not follow. What, precisely, are the blessings that will show they are “much better off”? Twice as much food? I don’t think so. Anesthesia and low infant mortality? Those things are already asymptotically approaching their maximum benefit. More education? Also already near its maximum, and often modern education is social capital destroying; more would not be better. That leaves us only with the possibility of more life, and while that’s a complicated discussion, it’s not at all clear that very extended lives would be good for society. In any case, there is zero evidence we are making any progress on that front (and, in fact, last week it was announced that yet again American life expectancy had dropped).True, those not already enjoying plentiful food, etc., that is, those outside the West, may catch up in a hundred years, but that does not depend on us maximizing their opportunities, rather on them being willing to adopt the material blessings offered them by the West, which most of them have failed to do despite plenty of opportunity. The wealth of the West has had, and could have more, “spillover effects,” allowing non-Western cultures to improve their material circumstances. A few cultures have already done that—namely, as Cowen lists, “Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore and China.” Cowen thinks the economic success of these Asian territories is “the highest manifestation of the ethical good in human history to date.” This seems a bit odd, given Cowen’s demands for individual autonomy, something of far less importance in any of those places than in the West. But in any case, it does not show that more wealth is going to be vastly better for people already wealthy.In fact, those already wealthy might be much worse off if wealth continues increasing. That leads into my second, core, objection, that Cowen places no possible significance on non-material values. Of what does human flourishing consist? Not of being able to buy more goods, or autonomy or “plural values,” though it is possible elements of those play some part. It consists of a broad recognition of the common good, in which each person achieves a type of happiness, eudaimonia, combined with, I think, lifting our gaze to the stars, figuratively or literally. Lifting our gaze reinforces the common good, for any society that flourishes cannot be stultified, but must have and execute on the common will to achieve. As David Gress wrote of the conquistadors, “Living under [God’s] judgment, men conceived life as an adventure, and their vivid imaginations conceived great tasks—sometimes bloody, cruel, and murderous—and impelled them to surmount great challenges. Hernán Cortes conquered Mexico for God, gold, and glory, and only a mundane imagination would distinguish these impulses, for they were one and the same.”Flourishing thus consists of material adequacy accompanied by a joint search for transcendence and pursuit of that which is highest and best in man, spiritual and material. Instead, now that we are rich in material goods, and perhaps because we are rich, we seek more fun, we seek nothing transcendent, and we are able to buy five percent more cheap Chinese crap every year. I don’t think that’s human flourishing, whatever Cowen may say, yet all this is ignored by Cowen for a blinkered focus on quantifiable matters. True, the impulse to acquire paves the road to flourishing; material goods, gold or otherwise, are part of the spur to achievement. But the key is not to allow that to overwhelm virtue and the common good.So let’s examine my own question, whether a rich society can stay a virtuous society? First, we have to define virtue. Now, I am probably the wrong person for this, not because I lack virtue (though perhaps that is also true) but because the philosophy of virtue is a topic to which I have given little thought. No time to get started like the present, and, after all, other, very smart, people have given it a lot of thought.What Cowen offers he does not call virtue, but his goals compete as ends with virtue, and are, in fact, one conception of virtue. Those goals, unfettered autonomy, liberty, and freedom, are in effect the Enlightenment definition of virtue. The pursuit of such autonomy once seemed compatible with human progress, and even (incorrectly) has seemed to many like the ground of the modern world. But this new definition of virtue directly conflicts with the older conception of virtue, which has little to do with autonomy. As Patrick Deneen has noted, that older conception, derived from Aristotle and Aquinas, holds that man is by nature social and political, and thus “to the extent that humans are able to develop true and flourishing individuality, it is only by means of political society and its constitutive groups and associations. . . . [L]iberty is the cultivated ability to exercise self-governance, to limit ourselves in accordance with our nature and the natural world.” Virtue consists of exercising self-limitation and self-governance; lack of virtue is a form of slavery. Virtue, and liberty, therefore, is the opposite of “living as one likes,” and it is the key component of human flourishing as I define it above. Moreover, properly analyzed, Cowen’s “virtue” is the opposite of real virtue. I think Cowen knows that, too: despite the words “responsible individuals” being in his title, that concept appears a grand total of zero places in the book, suggesting Cowen realizes that what he has to offer is shallow.A deeper examination of virtue would focus on the precise application of this framework. What actual actions must a man take, and from which must he refrain, in order to be virtuous? What other implications does this have? Many, certainly—the need for duty, and for treating reality as real, for treating tradition as valuable, if not actually determinative, and for seeing oneself as part of an integrated societal whole. And for each person in his different circumstances, different applications of the same choices. (Most, and maybe all, of what Cowen calls “common sense morality” is in fact merely applications of the traditional virtue framework, and completely alien to his own framework.) But I will leave that to another day. Certainly, my own political program, tentatively named Foundationalism, will strongly encourage applied virtue through proper definition and incentives. For now, enough to say that the core of applied virtue consists of limitations on personal autonomy, not increases in it.Can a rich society, then, be virtuous? I doubt if any non-virtuous society can become rich; I mean whether it can then stay virtuous. No society is virtuous all the time; the question is whether, on average and over time, a society can exhibit mass virtue, especially among its ruling classes, who dictate the arc of a society. Past performance may not be a guarantee of future results, but a survey of history suggests wealth necessarily tends to erode virtue. Why? I can think of several reasons. First, the richer you are, the more temptations can be satisfied that run counter to virtue. The richer you are, human nature being what it is, self-limitation is less appealing, and living as one likes becomes ever more easy and pleasurable. Second, by keeping the wolf far from the door, wealth allows us to be stupid and weak, and, what is the same thing but more common today, to allow stupid ideologies to flourish. You can paper over a lot of unreality with money, especially when you can steal money from others who produce value to live your fantasy life. It doesn’t work out in the long run; ask the Carthaginians. But in the meantime, you can pretend. Note, too, that this means in the long run, wealth will, through stupidity, inevitably tend to evaporate. Third, wealth encourages the cancerous growth of the state, for several reasons, among them that rent seeking is an easier way to riches than producing value, which inevitably results in a reliance on government rather than self-limitation. Without going too deep into the details, we can say, at a minimum, that it’s very hard for a rich society to remain virtuous.This raises the secondary question, what’s the precise relationship between wealth and human flourishing? I have little doubt that for a very poor society, more material wealth leads to more human flourishing. It’s hard to flourish if your children are starving. But that says nothing about whether more material wealth will always lead to more flourishing. Maybe it will lead to less. Maybe flourishing is on a graph, where the x-axis is wealth, and the y-axis flourishing, and the graph shows a normal distribution, with a maximum of flourishing not at either end of the x-axis. Maybe the equivalent to abject poverty on the left side of the x-axis is matched by decadence on the right side of the x-axis, and, past a certain amount of societal wealth, we no longer lift our gaze to the stars. Maybe, in fact, the richer we are, the less flourishing there is, until everything collapses entirely, beginning the cycle again.Human history is like a cork bobbing on the ocean; sometimes up, sometimes down. Our goal is, or should be, to maximize the ups and keep the moving average getting higher, not try to achieve some utopia. If we can create a virtuous, flourishing society that lasts some hundreds of years, and then falls, or retrenches, but which allows those that follow to build upon it, we have done our duty. We will be the successors to Rome and Venice, and the progenitors, perhaps, of something better in the future, though to be sure without substantial rework our current civilization is imminently doomed. But as to Cowen’s book, it has no relevance whatsoever to this project of illuminating and laying the foundations of future ages; it is merely the vaguely clever musings of a man who thinks his philosophy has a future, but who cannot see that he is sitting on the end of a branch, sawing busily away on the tree side of his branch.

I read Cowen's blog Marginal Revolution pretty regularly and still got a lot out of this book - it focuses more on his philosophical life thesis than interesting one offs. For those that are new to Cowen it kind of connects a libertarian economics professor's pro-individualist / free market growth outlook with a lot of what you would hear from collectivist philosophers or humanitarians. Highly recommend listening to the "Conversations with Tyler" interview with the author to go with it.

Having read a couple of Tyler's other books, this one is different in format. It's more philosophical and less descriptive than, say, Average is Over. Yet, it follows his overall philosophy of "Marginal Revolution" (small things can make a big difference over time). Like compounded economic growth.Briefly, here are some takeaways:-The two main things society should focus on: Compounded Economic Growth and Human Rights.-When given a choice, a society should prioritize economic growth over distribution of wealth. This makes a big difference over time, thanks to compounding.-Without wealth and savings, there is nothing to redistribute-We should be more concerned with the fragility of civilization (and not take continued prosperity for granted)Stubborn Attachments is not a long book, but it packs many ideas.This book took Tyler almost 20 years to write. It's worth reading.

Tyler Cowen is one of the smartest and most eloquent intellectuals of the modern age. To call him an economist (PHD Harvard) doesnt do justice to his wide set of interests, his voracious appetite to absorb and process information and form opinions on a wide range of topics. Some have called him the most well read man of the 21st century. His main argument in Stubborn Attachments is a libertarian ideal of prioritizing economic growth as a political imperative above all else. That aggregation problems per Arrow are is a theoretical cop outs to solve real world problems. Higher growth contrary to a lot of the behavioral economic literature does lead to greater well being and happiness. The book references the likes of Derek Parfit and a wide swathe of economic and philosophy research. It's a master piece. All of the proceeds have been donated to a single Ethiopian man that Tyler met on one of his many trips.

This is a fast and interesting read. Tyler Cowen is admirably clear in what he is proposing, and it is hard to argue with in the abstract. He thinks we undervalue future generations, that we should try to improve economic growth (sustainably), and also respect human rights.I definitely like that Cowen puts out what his thoughts and goals are with the book. The ideals are hard to argue with in the abstract and he does a good job of defending them in more concrete situations as well. They make a good amount of sense and coincide with common sense morality, which I think is a good step forward. Still, he deals with utilitarian ideas with the respect they deserve.What I must argue with a bit is the claim that we discount the future because we value it less. I guess I have always just thought of the discounting as discounting because of the huge uncertainty of the future, an aspect that Cowen even deals with later in the book. If we can't predict the effects of our interventions, then it makes sense to discount things in the future because it is not clear that they will exist, or will exist as we conceptualize them. I don't think this really undermines any of Cowen's points but I feel like it is an important aspect to keep in mind. Cowen is also fairly vague about what sort of calculations for future growth we should consider since prediction is such a tough game. My final criticism is that human rights are never really defined in a way that makes it clear how absolute the nearly absolute rights are.Still, for the shortness of the read, Cowen provides a lot of food for thought.

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Stubborn Attachments: A Vision for a Society of Free, Prosperous, and Responsible Individuals PDF

Stubborn Attachments: A Vision for a Society of Free, Prosperous, and Responsible Individuals PDF
Stubborn Attachments: A Vision for a Society of Free, Prosperous, and Responsible Individuals PDF
Posted by wingrfam on Februari 01, 2012 in    No comments »

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